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Re: WASL Fact/Thought of the Day


  • Subject: Re: WASL Fact/Thought of the Day
  • From: Mike Kluznik <mkluznik@HOTMAIL.COM>
  • Date: Sat, 22 Sep 2001 17:52:21 -0400
  • Reply-to: Assessment Reform Network Mailing List <ARN-L@LISTS.CUA.EDU>
  • Sender: Assessment Reform Network Mailing List <ARN-L@LISTS.CUA.EDU>

Gerald,
"About once a month I consider forming the National Coalition for the
Aboliktion of Correlation Coefficients."
I think this is a wonderful organization. I'd like to start a chapter in my
area.
Lately, the ARN list has been revisited by the small school issue. You have
to wonder what is due to cause & effect and what is due to correlation in
the effectiveness studies that support small schools.
I work in a brand new, large high school. It really is a beautiful school.
Lately, I've been talking to students and teachers, trying to get their
reaction to the new building. I haven't heard any negative comments from
students. But, I digress...
We do need a NCACC chapter in every state. Please send me sign-up
materials.
Mike




From: gerald bracey <gbracey@EROLS.COM>
Reply-To: Assessment Reform Network Mailing List <ARN-L@LISTS.CUA.EDU>
To: ARN-L@LISTS.CUA.EDU
Subject: Re: WASL Fact/Thought of the Day
Date: Sat, 22 Sep 2001 07:23:34 -0400

Mickey:

What two variables do you want to correlate?

In any event, be careful. About once a month I consider forming the
National Coalition for the Aboliktion of Correlation Coefficients. They
cause so much trouble because human beings have an irresistable impulse to
infer causality from correlation.

If variables A and B are correlated, you don't know if A causes B, B causes
A, both A and B are affected by some other variable, or if it's just
chance. The cliche is that in education everything is correlated about
.30.

"Variance explained" or "variance accounted for" is a very slippery concept
in my opinion because it seems to lead even more to a causal
interpretation. I use it rarely and usually do not point to the specific
value.

Recently, for instance, I wrote that the typical correlation between the
SAT and freshman college grades is about .45, meaning that the SAT explains
only 20% of the variance in those grades. The point is, no matter what the
precise figures might be, most of what goes into those grades comes from
other qualities.

Jerry

----- Original Message -----
From: Mickey VanDerwerker
To: ARN-L@LISTS.CUA.EDU
Sent: Friday, September 21, 2001 11:13 PM
Subject: Re: WASL Fact/Thought of the Day


In a message dated 9/20/2001 6:23:31 PM Eastern Daylight Time,
aburke@VANSD.ORG writes:



A correlation coefficient is a numerical index of the strength of the
linear relationship between two measures. The square is sometimes
interpreted as "proportion of variance explained."


How would I go about asking for this information from our state
MIckey


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