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Krashen on Reading First data





From: Stephen Krashen <skrashen@yahoo.com>

The US Department of Education is claiming that
Reading First is working. This is on the basis of a
recent report claiming that the percentage of third
graders meeting or exceeding the proficient level on
tests of reading comprehension increased by 12%
between 2004 and 2006.

I have examined this data (available on the Department
of Education website). For the 30 states with test
scores available, I calculated an average increase of
6.7% in the percentage of third graders scoring at the
proficient level or higher between 2004 and 2006. (If
the number of children in each state is considered,
the "weighted mean" is 6%, half the figure reported by
the Department of Education.)

Four states showed huge gains, about 20% or more
(Indiana, 26%, New Hampshire, 20.5%, South Carolina,
21%, Virginia, 19.5%), but these four included only
4.5% of the total number of students who took the
test.

Three of the states with the most students tested did
not do as well: California gained 4%, Texas 2% and
Penn decreased nearly 10%. Combined, these three
states make up about half of the total number of
children tested.

When we consider that children in Reading First get
100 extra minutes of reading instruction per week, and
Reading First teachers get significantly more
professional development, these are not "impressive
gains," as the Department of Education Press Release
of April 19 claims.

Also, as others have pointed out, no comparison group
was included in the analysis. The Department of
Education refuses to consider any research that does
not meet strict "scientific" standards, yet has no
problem concluding from this data that Reading First
"is working."

Stephen Krashen

Note: I limited my analysis to grade three, as these
children have had the greatest chance to profit from
Reading First. I only considered reading
comprehension, as previous studies have shown that
heavy phonics-based methods show an advantage on tests
of word reading, but not on tests of reading
comprehension given after grade one (Garan's analysis
of the National Reading Panel report).