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Fwd: [eddra] More on: NCLB Support by NAEP????


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  • Subject: Fwd: [eddra] More on: NCLB Support by NAEP????
  • From: Susan Harman <susanharman@igc.org>
  • Date: Fri, 12 Jan 2007 21:10:29 -0800
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Begin forwarded message:

From: Richard Innes <70224.434@compuserve.com>
Date: Wed Jan 10, 2007 8:56:36 AM US/Pacific
To: eddra <eddra@yahoogroups.com>
Subject: [eddra] More on: NCLB Support by NAEP????

Long Term NAEP Can't Support NCLB at This Time


Gerry's criticism of US Secretary of Education Margaret Spelling's attempts
to use the Long Term Trend NAEP to claim NCLB progress is right on target,
but there is even more reason to suspect the validity of the 2004 Long Term
Trend scores for such analysis.

Very simply, the 2004 Long Term Trend NAEP has fallen victim to the same
sort of exclusion and testing condition changes that have dogged the
validity of the Main and State NAEP's for nearly a decade.

Here are a few reasons why the 2004 Long Term NAEP results must be
considered inflated in comparison to previous years. You will find a
discussion of these issues beginning on page 58 of NCES 2005-464, "NAEP
2004 Trends in Academic Progress, Three Decades of Student Performance in
Reading and Mathematics."


1) Replacing items.

The explanation reads: "Many of the items in the long-term trend assessment
were written in the late 1960s. Given changes in context over the past four
decades, several items needed to be restructured or replaced with items
more in line with current contexts. For example, reading passages that
discussed outdated issues were replaced with more current passages."

If this is true, the 1999 scores and scores for some earlier years would
have been depressed. This serious change to the assessment could not help
but destroy comparability to earlier versions by creating an artificial
increase in the 2004 results.


2) Moving all background questions to the end of the administration time.

In the past, these questions were intermixed with the academic questions.
Certainly, that past testing protocol would have been annoying, if not
terribly distracting. This, again, would have tended to suppress scores on
the past assessments. Some testing experts would probably view this
dramatic change in test conditions as another validity threat.


3) Eliminating "I don't know" as a response option for multiple-choice
items.

This creates a huge reduction in test difficulty. Clearly, comparison to
any previous tests is badly compromised by this very notable change in
basic protocol.


4) Eliminating audio paced tapes.

The explanation reads: "Use of an audio tape, which paced students during
the assessment session so that they were at the same place in the test
booklet at the same time, was discontinued for mathematics in 2004. That
is, in the 1999 and previous assessments, students taking the mathematics
portion would listen to an audio tape that spoke each question aloud,
paused to allow the student time to respond, then spoke the next question
aloud."

I think the administration technique for math questions on the prior tests
must have been very confusing to students. I doubt students ever
experienced a similar test presentation in their math classes. Now, with
this change, the Long Term Trend NAEP clearly and completely trashed its
trend line, as the new presentation methods will be far more familiar to
students.


5) Using assessment booklets that pertain only to a single subject area.

The explanation reads: "In the past, a single assessment booklet may have
contained both reading and mathematics items. Science and writing items
were also intermingled with the reading and mathematics items. In the 2004
modified assessment, students received a booklet that either contained only
reading questions or only mathematics questions."

Again, this strikes me as a very serious change that replaced a more
jumbled up format of question presentation to a highly ordered structure.
That, too, would increase the most recent scores.


Overall, I view these and other changes in the 2004 Long Term Trend NAEP to
amount to a very serious departure from the true, "long term" nature of
previous assessments in this series. The changes outlined above would be
expected to all increase 2004 scores versus earlier test results, thereby
severing the trend lines.

Richard Innes



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